
Rules of Thumb
By Robert R. Wietzke, CPA*, CVA
OH
Should you use them?
Whenever I speak to CPAs
interested in business valuations, one subject grabs their
attention-Rules of Thumb. After the presentation,
several attendees always approach and ask for information
about a book Ive held up to illustrate one of several
methods used to value a closely held business. The book is Handbook of Small
Business Valuation
Formulas and Rules of Thumb, third edition, by Glen
Desmond published by Valuation Press, Camden, ME, in 1993.
Formulas have been used to
value businesses for years, principally by business brokers
and small business owners. These rules typically fall into
four categories:
| 1) |
Multiple of revenues;
|
| 2) |
Multiple of earnings (net income, owners
discretionary cash flow, EBITA, etc.) |
| 3) |
Multiple of book value; |
| 4) |
Multiple of a measured unit (Restaurant tables,
hospital beds, subscribers, etc.) |
These rules are nothing
more than a rough starting point. Whenever I reference the
book in my presentation, I add the statement Be careful,
thumbs come in many sizes and shapes! Unfortunately,
these rules have found their way into the valuation
profession and are being used by inexperienced valuators in
tax and litigation cases, principally due to their
simplicity and ease of use.
Since an investors is
focus upon their return on investment from future cash
flows, the multiple of earnings seems most appropriate, as
the other three do not assess the profitability of the
business. None of the rules, however, provide sufficient
information to assess the uniqueness of the business, such
as management depth, customer relationships, industry
trends, reputation, location, competition, capital structure
and other information unique to the business.
In his book, Glen Desmond
makes the following observation: There is no single
formula that will work for every business. Formula
multipliers offer ease of calculation, but they also obscure
details. This can be misleading. Net revenue multipliers are
particularly troublesome because they are blind to the
businesss expenses and profit history. It is easy to see
how two businesses in any given industry group might have
the same annual net revenue, yet show very different cash
flows. A proper valuation will go beyond formulas and
include a full financial analysis whenever possible.
For example, a common rule
of thumb for accounting practices is one to one and one half
times annual revenues. A CPA associate of mine was offered a
one-third-partnership share in her Firm based upon the
formula. Upon examination of the books, we found that the
partnership had accepted an assignment involving a valuation
of a business for a pending divorce. The Firm never
collected their fees, which represented a significant
portion of their revenues in the year of the engagement.
They were forced to borrow from their bank to pay staff
salaries and office overhead. The interest on the loan had
offset most of the Firms profits in the last two years.
Would you pay $250,000 for a partnership in a firm with no
cash flow?
The popularity of these
rules is demonstrated by the wealth of data published
on the subject. Desmond published the first edition of Handbook of Small
Business Valuation Formulas in 1987. A second edition
followed it and the third edition referenced above was
published in 1993.
The AICPA Consulting
Services Practice Aid 93-3 Conducting a Valuation of
a Closely Held
Business, American Institute of Certified Public
Accountants, New York, NY, 1993 cautions against exclusive use of
these formulas, but goes on to state
. the valuer
should not ignore what is being done in the industry.
Frequently, an industry rule of thumb provides a
representation of the perception that people have in the
marketplace and should be one of the methods used in valuing the closely held
business. (Emphasis added). The practice aid, while
intended to be an educational and reference guide to be used
by Institute members, did not establish standards or
preferred practices.
The State of Florida,
however, apparently thought otherwise. When queried about
the use of rules of thumb, an experienced practitioner in
the State of Florida commented
we are somewhat
hamstrung here in Florida in that our State Legislature, in
their infinite wisdom, has put in the statutes that a
business valuation performed by a CPA in Florida must
conform to the AICPA Practice Aid 93-3!
Shannon Pratt, in his
third edition of Valuing Small Businesses and Professional Practices, McGraw Hill, New York, NY, 1998, also cautions against
exclusive use of these formulas. He does publish, however,
the formulas commonly used for various types of professional
practice valuations.
The 1999 Business Reference Guide, 9th
Edition, edited by Thomas L. West, Business Brokerage
Press, Concord, MA, contains over 300 Rules of Thumb in 100+
pages of the book. These rules are compiled from trade
associations, industry experts and specialists. Today, web
pages of sites devoted to small businesses discuss these
rules as authoritative.
A CPA asked about his use
of these formulas in litigation cases replied Rules of
Thumb cannot be ignoredthey are a self-fulfilling
prophecy in an industry if the formula has been widely
disseminated. He went on to state-Therefore, we
usually take the following approach:
| 1) |
Identify the rule to show your knowledge of the
industry and apply it.
|
| 2) |
Should the result be close to the application of
other more traditional valuation methods, then show it with
no further remarks.
|
| 3) |
If the results are not close, use the arguments
(above) used in the ASA (Business Valuation) courses to
point out the problems with formulas.
|
Remember-
THUMBS COME IN MANY SIZES AND SHAPES!
This article is being
reprinted from the CPA Litigation Service
Counselor with permission from Harcourt
Professional Publishing Division, 525 B
Street, Suite 1900, San Diego, CA 92101.
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